Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.448868 0.518478 0.594406 0.683254 0.784244 0.895337 1.026676
2025-08-10 0.327932 0.421779 0.534427 0.679028 0.859092 1.075254 1.353685
2025-08-17 0.258023 0.359531 0.490303 0.669900 0.908728 1.213806 1.631177
2025-08-24 0.211171 0.314605 0.455916 0.661069 0.948864 1.335363 1.890220
2025-08-31 0.172941 0.273565 0.418418 0.639290 0.963996 1.419455 2.101063
2025-09-07 0.158070 0.263224 0.421503 0.673088 1.057798 1.617377 2.484200
2025-09-14 0.133901 0.234582 0.392917 0.655012 1.071392 1.698615 2.702897
2025-09-21 0.114376 0.210229 0.367324 0.637433 1.082061 1.773867 2.915789
2025-09-28 0.098954 0.190362 0.346131 0.623688 1.095984 1.853268 3.138943
2025-10-05 0.090896 0.182178 0.343266 0.639575 1.158829 2.013781 3.501602
2025-10-12 0.086280 0.179568 0.349552 0.671422 1.250714 2.227639 3.965963
2025-10-19 0.080154 0.173184 0.348156 0.689067 1.318895 2.406184 4.383232
2025-10-26 0.072750 0.163499 0.339941 0.694110 1.366440 2.555508 4.766384
2025-11-02 0.065305 0.152703 0.328383 0.691665 1.400154 2.683512 5.122759
2025-11-09 0.058111 0.141349 0.314278 0.682512 1.419936 2.787317 5.442547
2025-11-16 0.051852 0.131090 0.301089 0.673537 1.438731 2.889901 5.766340
2025-11-23 0.045244 0.119007 0.282550 0.651380 1.429036 2.937709 5.990558
2025-11-30 0.043906 0.119185 0.290494 0.685767 1.536330 3.216048 6.670301
2025-12-07 0.038767 0.109288 0.274844 0.667375 1.532688 3.277822 6.935487
2025-12-14 0.034280 0.100322 0.260190 0.649490 1.528172 3.336893 7.198441
2025-12-21 0.030560 0.092757 0.247878 0.635504 1.530548 3.409519 7.492615
2025-12-28 0.028945 0.090644 0.248487 0.651670 1.600741 3.626451 8.094419
2026-01-04 0.028299 0.091143 0.255621 0.684071 1.710064 3.932435 8.899205